Indonesia Palm Oil Output Seen Recovering in 2025, but Biodiesel
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Indonesia prepares to execute B40 in January

In that case, rates may rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke says

B40 will require additional 3 mln tons feedstock, GAPKI states

Malaysia palm oil benchmark at highest because mid-2022

India might withdraw import tax hike in the middle of inflation, Mistry says

(Adds expert comments, updates Malaysia's palm oil criteria cost)

By Bernadette Christina

NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is anticipated to recuperate in 2025 after an expected drop this year, however prices are anticipated to stay raised due to scheduled growth of the country's biodiesel required, market experts stated.

The palm oil criteria cost in Malaysia has actually increased more than 35% this year, lifted by sluggish output and Indonesia's strategy to increase the compulsory domestic biodiesel mix to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to reduce fuel imports.

Palm oil output next year in leading producer Indonesia is expected to recuperate by 1.5 million metric tons compared to a projected drop of simply over a million loads this year, Julian McGill, handling director at Glenauk Economics, told the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference on Friday.

Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research firm Oil World, said he expects Indonesia's palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million tons next year after a 2.5 million lot drop in 2024.

While Indonesia's output is anticipated to enhance, provide from elsewhere and of other veggie oils is seen tightening.

Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is expected to dip slightly next year after increasing by an estimated 1 million lots in 2024.

"We would require a healing in palm in 2025 because combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are declining," Mielke stated.

'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE

The cost surge in palm oil in the previous 7 weeks has actually been "frightening" for purchasers, Mielke said, including that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia enforces the so-called B40 policy.

The Indonesia Palm Oil Association stated extra feedstock of around 3 million lots will be needed for B40 application, wearing down export supply.

The existing palm oil premium has actually already caused palm to lose market share versus other oils, Mielke added.

Malaysian palm oil costs are seen trading at around $950 to $1,050 per metric lot in 2025, McGill of Glenauk approximated.

Benchmark Malaysian palm oil touched 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the greatest given that mid-2022.

"Sentiment right now is red-hot and very bullish, we need to take care," stated Dorab Mistry, director at Indian consumer products company Godrej International.

He anticipated the Malaysian price around 5,000 ringgit and above till June 2025.

Mielke and Mistry urged Indonesia to

think about delaying

B40 execution on issue about its impact on food customers.

Meanwhile, Mistry anticipated leading palm oil importer India to withdraw its

import task hike

imposed from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Nangoy